Publications

2023

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Wang, Allen, Enrico G Ferro, Jiaman Xu, Yang Song, Tianyu Sun, Jordan B Strom, Dae H Kim, Robert W Yeh, Darae Ko, and Daniel B Kramer. (2023) 2023. “Comparative Performance of Distinct Frailty Measures Among Patients Undergoing Percutaneous Left Atrial Appendage Closure.”. Pacing and Clinical Electrophysiology : PACE 46 (3): 242-50. https://doi.org/10.1111/pace.14649.

AIMS: Frailty is associated with increased morbidity and mortality in patients undergoing left atrial appendage closure (LAAC). This study aimed to compare the performance of two claims-based frailty measures in predicting adverse outcomes following LAAC.

METHODS: We identified patients 66 years and older who underwent LAAC between October 1, 2016, and December 31, 2019, in Medicare fee-for-service claims. Frailty was assessed using the previously validated Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) and Kim Claims-based Frailty Index (CFI). Patients were identified as frail based on HFRS ≥5 and CFI ≥0.25.

RESULTS: Of the 21,787 patients who underwent LAAC, frailty was identified in 45.6% by HFRS and 15.4% by CFI. There was modest agreement between the two frailty measures (kappa 0.25, Pearson's correlation 0.62). After adjusting for age, sex, and comorbidities, frailty was associated with higher risk of 30-day mortality, 1-year mortality, 30-day readmission, long hospital stay, and reduced days at home (p < .01 for all) regardless of the frailty measure used. The addition of frailty to standard comorbidities significantly improved model performance to predict 1-year mortality, long hospital stay, and reduced days at home (Delong p-value < .001).

CONCLUSION: Despite significant variation in frailty detection and modest agreement between the two frailty measures, frailty status remained highly predictive of mortality, readmissions, long hospital stay, and reduced days at home among patients undergoing LAAC. Measuring frailty in clinical practice, regardless of the method used, may provide prognostic information useful for patients being considered for LAAC, and may inform shared decision-making in this population.

2022

Wu, Huiyi, Kiran Haresh Kumar Patel, Xinyang Li, Bowen Zhang, Christoforos Galazis, Nikesh Bajaj, Arunashis Sau, et al. (2022) 2022. “A Fully-Automated Paper ECG Digitisation Algorithm Using Deep Learning.”. Scientific Reports 12 (1): 20963. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-25284-1.

There is increasing focus on applying deep learning methods to electrocardiograms (ECGs), with recent studies showing that neural networks (NNs) can predict future heart failure or atrial fibrillation from the ECG alone. However, large numbers of ECGs are needed to train NNs, and many ECGs are currently only in paper format, which are not suitable for NN training. We developed a fully-automated online ECG digitisation tool to convert scanned paper ECGs into digital signals. Using automated horizontal and vertical anchor point detection, the algorithm automatically segments the ECG image into separate images for the 12 leads and a dynamical morphological algorithm is then applied to extract the signal of interest. We then validated the performance of the algorithm on 515 digital ECGs, of which 45 were printed, scanned and redigitised. The automated digitisation tool achieved 99.0% correlation between the digitised signals and the ground truth ECG (n = 515 standard 3-by-4 ECGs) after excluding ECGs with overlap of lead signals. Without exclusion, the performance of average correlation was from 90 to 97% across the leads on all 3-by-4 ECGs. There was a 97% correlation for 12-by-1 and 3-by-1 ECG formats after excluding ECGs with overlap of lead signals. Without exclusion, the average correlation of some leads in 12-by-1 ECGs was 60-70% and the average correlation of 3-by-1 ECGs achieved 80-90%. ECGs that were printed, scanned, and redigitised, our tool achieved 96% correlation with the original signals. We have developed and validated a fully-automated, user-friendly, online ECG digitisation tool. Unlike other available tools, this does not require any manual segmentation of ECG signals. Our tool can facilitate the rapid and automated digitisation of large repositories of paper ECGs to allow them to be used for deep learning projects.

Sau, Arunashis, Safi Ibrahim, Amar Ahmed, Balvinder Handa, Daniel B Kramer, Jonathan W Waks, Ahran D Arnold, et al. (2022) 2022. “Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Electrocardiogram to Distinguish Cavotricuspid Isthmus Dependence from Other Atrial Tachycardia Mechanisms.”. European Heart Journal. Digital Health 3 (3): 405-14. https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjdh/ztac042.

AIMS: Accurately determining atrial arrhythmia mechanisms from a 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) can be challenging. Given the high success rate of cavotricuspid isthmus (CTI) ablation, identification of CTI-dependent typical atrial flutter (AFL) is important for treatment decisions and procedure planning. We sought to train a convolutional neural network (CNN) to classify CTI-dependent AFL vs. non-CTI dependent atrial tachycardia (AT), using data from the invasive electrophysiology (EP) study as the gold standard.

METHODS AND RESULTS: We trained a CNN on data from 231 patients undergoing EP studies for atrial tachyarrhythmia. A total of 13 500 five-second 12-lead ECG segments were used for training. Each case was labelled CTI-dependent AFL or non-CTI-dependent AT based on the findings of the EP study. The model performance was evaluated against a test set of 57 patients. A survey of electrophysiologists in Europe was undertaken on the same 57 ECGs. The model had an accuracy of 86% (95% CI 0.77-0.95) compared to median expert electrophysiologist accuracy of 79% (range 70-84%). In the two thirds of test set cases (38/57) where both the model and electrophysiologist consensus were in agreement, the prediction accuracy was 100%. Saliency mapping demonstrated atrial activation was the most important segment of the ECG for determining model output.

CONCLUSION: We describe the first CNN trained to differentiate CTI-dependent AFL from other AT using the ECG. Our model matched and complemented expert electrophysiologist performance. Automated artificial intelligence-enhanced ECG analysis could help guide treatment decisions and plan ablation procedures for patients with organized atrial arrhythmias.

Stern, Ariel D, Jan Brönneke, Jörg F Debatin, Julia Hagen, Henrik Matthies, Smit Patel, Ieuan Clay, et al. (2022) 2022. “Advancing Digital Health Applications: Priorities for Innovation in Real-World Evidence Generation.”. The Lancet. Digital Health 4 (3): e200-e206. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2589-7500(21)00292-2.

In 2019, Germany passed the Digital Healthcare Act, which, among other things, created a "Fast-Track" regulatory and reimbursement pathway for digital health applications in the German market. The pathway explicitly provides for flexibility in how researchers can present evidence for new digital products, including the use of real-world data and real-world evidence. Against this backdrop, the Digital Medicine Society and the Health Innovation Hub of the German Federal Ministry of Health convened a set of roundtable discussions to bring together international experts in evidence generation for digital medicine products. This Viewpoint highlights findings from these discussions with the aims of (1) accelerating and stimulating innovative approaches to digital medical product evaluation, and (2) promoting international harmonisation of best evidentiary practices. Advancing these topics and fostering international agreement on evaluation approaches will be vital to the safe, effective, and evidence-based deployment and acceptance of digital health applications globally.

Griffiths, Samuel, Jonathan M Behar, Daniel B Kramer, Mike T Debney, Christopher Monkhouse, Alicia Y Lefas, Martin Lowe, et al. (2022) 2022. “The Long-Term Outcomes of Cardiac Implantable Electronic Devices Implanted via the Femoral Route.”. Pacing and Clinical Electrophysiology : PACE 45 (4): 481-90. https://doi.org/10.1111/pace.14449.

BACKGROUND: Conventional superior access for cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) is not always possible and femoral CIEDs (F-CIED) are an alternative option when leadless systems are not suitable. The long-term outcomes and extraction experiences with F-CIEDs, in particular complex F-CIED (ICD/CRT devices), remain poorly understood.

METHODS: Patients referred for F-CIEDs implantation between 2002 and 2019 at two tertiary centers were included. Early complications were defined as ≤30 days following implant and late complications >30 days.

RESULTS: Thirty-one patients (66% male; age 56 ± 20 years; 35% [11] patients with congenital heart disease) were implanted with F-CIEDs (10 ICD/CRT and 21 pacemakers). Early complications were observed in 6.5% of patients: two lead displacements. Late complications at 6.8 ± 4.4 years occurred in 29.0% of patients. This was higher with complex F-CIED compared to simple F-CIED (60.0% vs. 14.3%, p = .02). Late complications were predominantly generator site related (n = 8, 25.8%) including seven infections/erosions and one generator migration. Eight femoral generators and 14 leads (median duration in situ seven [range 6-11] years) were extracted without complication.

CONCLUSIONS: Procedural success with F-CIEDs is high with clinically acceptable early complication rates. There is a notable risk of late complications, particularly involving the generator site of complex devices following repeat femoral procedures. Extraction of chronic F-CIED in experienced centers is feasible and safe.

Bachtiger, Patrik, Camille F Petri, Francesca E Scott, Se Ri Park, Mihir A Kelshiker, Harpreet K Sahemey, Bianca Dumea, et al. (2022) 2022. “Point-of-Care Screening for Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction Using Artificial Intelligence During ECG-Enabled Stethoscope Examination in London, UK: A Prospective, Observational, Multicentre Study.”. The Lancet. Digital Health 4 (2): e117-e125. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2589-7500(21)00256-9.

BACKGROUND: Most patients who have heart failure with a reduced ejection fraction, when left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is 40% or lower, are diagnosed in hospital. This is despite previous presentations to primary care with symptoms. We aimed to test an artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm applied to a single-lead ECG, recorded during ECG-enabled stethoscope examination, to validate a potential point-of-care screening tool for LVEF of 40% or lower.

METHODS: We conducted an observational, prospective, multicentre study of a convolutional neural network (known as AI-ECG) that was previously validated for the detection of reduced LVEF using 12-lead ECG as input. We used AI-ECG retrained to interpret single-lead ECG input alone. Patients (aged ≥18 years) attending for transthoracic echocardiogram in London (UK) were recruited. All participants had 15 s of supine, single-lead ECG recorded at the four standard anatomical positions for cardiac auscultation, plus one handheld position, using an ECG-enabled stethoscope. Transthoracic echocardiogram-derived percentage LVEF was used as ground truth. The primary outcome was performance of AI-ECG at classifying reduced LVEF (LVEF ≤40%), measured using metrics including the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), sensitivity, and specificity, with two-sided 95% CIs. The primary outcome was reported for each position individually and with an optimal combination of AI-ECG outputs (interval range 0-1) from two positions using a rule-based approach and several classification models. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04601415.

FINDINGS: Between Feb 6 and May 27, 2021, we recruited 1050 patients (mean age 62 years [SD 17·4], 535 [51%] male, 432 [41%] non-White). 945 (90%) had an ejection fraction of at least 40%, and 105 (10%) had an ejection fraction of 40% or lower. Across all positions, ECGs were most frequently of adequate quality for AI-ECG interpretation at the pulmonary position (979 [93·3%] of 1050). Quality was lowest for the aortic position (846 [80·6%]). AI-ECG performed best at the pulmonary valve position (p=0·02), with an AUROC of 0·85 (95% CI 0·81-0·89), sensitivity of 84·8% (76·2-91·3), and specificity of 69·5% (66·4-72·6). Diagnostic odds ratios did not differ by age, sex, or non-White ethnicity. Taking the optimal combination of two positions (pulmonary and handheld positions), the rule-based approach resulted in an AUROC of 0·85 (0·81-0·89), sensitivity of 82·7% (72·7-90·2), and specificity of 79·9% (77·0-82·6). Using AI-ECG outputs from these two positions, a weighted logistic regression with l2 regularisation resulted in an AUROC of 0·91 (0·88-0·95), sensitivity of 91·9% (78·1-98·3), and specificity of 80·2% (75·5-84·3).

INTERPRETATION: A deep learning system applied to single-lead ECGs acquired during a routine examination with an ECG-enabled stethoscope can detect LVEF of 40% or lower. These findings highlight the potential for inexpensive, non-invasive, workflow-adapted, point-of-care screening, for earlier diagnosis and prognostically beneficial treatment.

FUNDING: NHS Accelerated Access Collaborative, NHSX, and the National Institute for Health Research.

Lindgren, Lars, Aaron S Kesselheim, and Daniel B Kramer. (2022) 2022. “The Right to Repair Software-Dependent Medical Devices.”. The Journal of Law, Medicine & Ethics : A Journal of the American Society of Law, Medicine & Ethics 50 (4): 857-59. https://doi.org/10.1017/jme.2023.28.

The "right to repair" movement highlights opportunities to reduce health care costs and promote public health resilience through increased competition in the way in which medical devices are serviced and updated over their lifespan. We review legislative and legal facets of third-party repair of medical devices, and conclude with specific recommendations to help this market function more efficiently to the benefit of patients and health care systems.

Haouzi, Alice, Mark Tuttle, Allon Eyal, Kunal Tandon, Patricia Tung, Peter J Zimetbaum, and Daniel B Kramer. (2022) 2022. “Clinical Management of Conduction Abnormalities Following Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement: Prospective Evaluation of a Standardized Management Pathway.”. Journal of Interventional Cardiac Electrophysiology : An International Journal of Arrhythmias and Pacing 64 (1): 195-202. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10840-022-01156-6.

PURPOSE: Limited evidence guides management of conduction abnormalities following TAVR. Standardized clinical pathways may reduce variability in care while minimizing bradyarrhythmic morbidity, length of stay (LOS), and pacemaker (PPM) implantation rates.

METHODS: A multidisciplinary consensus pathway to standardize post-TAVR management was developed. We evaluated (1) pathway adherence; (2) LOS; (3) PPM implantation rates; (4) 1-month survival, and (5) late heart block. Exploratory analyses evaluated factors associated with PPM implantation.

RESULTS: A total of 181 consecutive patients without prior PPM who underwent TAVR between February 2020 and February 2021 (mean age 77.9 ± 9.1, 38% women) were included. Average LOS was 3.0 days (± 2.7), and no deaths related to syncope/bradyarrhythmia were reported by 1 month. Overall, 93% of the 181 patients were managed by pathway; deviations were due to failure of discharge with a heart monitor when it was clinically indicated for either pre-existing RBBB or new PR prolongation/new LBBB. PPM implantation occurred in 19 patients by discharge, and 21 by 1-month (13%). In our exploratory analysis, pre-existing RBBB, transient peri-procedural heart block, and LOTUS valves were associated with pacemaker implantation: OR (CI) of 8.16 (3.06-21.78), 6.83 (1.94-24.03), and 8.32 (1.11-62.49), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: This report illustrates that a standardized protocol for the management of conduction abnormalities after TAVR can be implemented with high compliance, safe management of conduction disturbance, and relatively short LOS with discharge supported by ambulatory monitoring.

Knoepke, Christopher E, Bryan C Wallace, Larry A Allen, Carmen L Lewis, Sanjaya K Gupta, Pamela N Peterson, Daniel B Kramer, et al. (2022) 2022. “Experiences Implementing a Suite of Decision Aids for Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillators: Qualitative Insights From the DECIDE-ICD Trial.”. Circulation. Cardiovascular Quality and Outcomes 15 (11): e009352. https://doi.org/10.1161/CIRCOUTCOMES.122.009352.

BACKGROUND: Shared decision making (SDM) is gaining importance in cardiology, including Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) reimbursement policies requiring documented SDM for patients considering primary prevention implantable cardioverter defibrillators. The DECIDE-ICD Trial (Decision Support Intervention for Patients offered implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillators) assessed the implementation and effectiveness of patient decision aids (DAs) using a stepped-wedge design at 7 sites. The purpose of this subanalysis was to qualitatively describe electrophysiology clinicians' experience implementing and using the DAs.

METHODS: This included semi-structured individual interviews with electrophysiology clinicians at participating sites across the US, at least 6 months following conversion into the implementation phase of the trial (from June 2020 through February 2022). The interview guide was structured according to the RE-AIM (Reach, Effectiveness, Adoption, Implementation and Maintenance [implementation evaluation model]) framework, assessing clinician experiences, which can impact implementation domains, and was qualitatively assessed using a mixed inductive/deductive method.

RESULTS: We completed 22 interviews post-implementation across all 7 sites. Participants included both physicians (n=16) and other clinicians who counsel patients regarding treatment options (n=6). While perception of SDM and the DA were positive, participants highlighted reasons for uneven delivery of DAs to appropriate patients. The CMS mandate for SDM was not universally viewed as associating with patients receiving DA's, but rather (1) logistics of DA delivery, (2) perceived effectiveness in improving patient decision-making, and (3) match of DA content to current patient populations. Remaining tensions include the specific trial data used in DAs and reconciling timing of delivery with when patients are actively making decisions.

CONCLUSIONS: Clinicians charged with delivering DAs to patients considering primary prevention implantable cardioverter defibrillators were generally supportive of the tenets of SDM, and of the DA tools themselves, but noted several opportunities to improve the reach and continued use of them in routine care.

REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.

CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique Identifier: NCT03374891.

Kramer, Daniel B, and Efthimios Parasidis. (2022) 2022. “Informed Consent and Compulsory Medical Device Registries: Ethics and Opportunities.”. Journal of Medical Ethics 48 (2): 79-82. https://doi.org/10.1136/medethics-2020-107031.

Many high-risk medical devices earn US marketing approval based on limited premarket clinical evaluation that leaves important questions unanswered. Rigorous postmarket surveillance includes registries that actively collect and maintain information defined by individual patient exposures to particular devices. Several prominent registries for cardiovascular devices require enrolment as a condition of reimbursement for the implant procedure, without informed consent. In this article, we focus on whether these registries, separate from their legal requirements, have an ethical obligation to obtain informed consent from enrolees, what is lost in not doing so, and the ways in which seeking and obtaining consent might strengthen postmarket surveillance in the USA.