The human metabolome reflects complex metabolic states affected by genetic and environmental factors. However, metabolites associated with type 2 diabetes (T2D) risk and their determinants remain insufficiently characterized. Here we integrated blood metabolomic, genomic and lifestyle data from up to 23,634 initially T2D-free participants from ten cohorts. Of 469 metabolites examined, 235 were associated with incident T2D during up to 26 years of follow-up, including 67 associations not previously reported across bile acid, lipid, carnitine, urea cycle and arginine/proline, glycine and histidine pathways. Further genetic analyses linked these metabolites to signaling pathways and clinical traits central to T2D pathophysiology, including insulin resistance, glucose/insulin response, ectopic fat deposition, energy/lipid regulation and liver function. Lifestyle factors-particularly physical activity, obesity and diet-explained greater variations in T2D-associated versus non-associated metabolites, with specific metabolites revealed as potential mediators. Finally, a 44-metabolite signature improved T2D risk prediction beyond conventional factors. These findings provide a foundation for understanding T2D mechanisms and may inform precision prevention targeting specific metabolic pathways.
Publications
2026
BACKGROUND: Systematic profiling of plasma proteins in population studies offers a complementary approach to discovery of novel risk factors and may provide new insights into the causes of coronary heart disease.
METHODS: To explore relationships between the circulating proteome and coronary heart disease (CHD), we evaluated associations of 4780 plasma proteins with incident CHD in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS, N=2856, 575 CHD events) and replicated significant associations in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC, N = 10456; 1375 events).
RESULTS: We find that 11 proteins significantly associate with incident CHD after adjusting for risk factors; and eight significantly replicated in ARIC. Several proteins correlate with carotid intimal medial thickness and CHD associations are attenuated in participants without subclinical atherosclerosis. Macrophage metalloelastase (MMP12) is the strongest observed association (Hazard Ratio, 1.31; 95% Confidence Interval, 1.19-1.44). Mendelian randomization (MR) identifies a causal relationship between higher MMP12 and lower CHD (Odds Ratio, OR 0.94) and ischemic stroke (OR 0.90) risk, while reverse MR found that genetic propensity to CHD increased MMP12. Taken together, multivariable MR confirms a direct protective effect of higher plasma MMP12 on CHD risk and a genetic effect of atherosclerosis and CHD on elevating MMP12.
CONCLUSIONS: Proteomic analyses reveal associations with incident CHD and genomic evidence suggests that therapeutic MMP12 inhibition may confer adverse cardiovascular effects.
BACKGROUND: We report IMPROVE-DiCE (Improve Diabetic Cardiac Energetics), a 2-part open-label, phase 2a trial evaluating the safety and effectiveness of ninerafaxstat, a novel therapeutic designed to enhance cardiac energetics. Between May and September 2021, part 1 enrolled patients with type 2 diabetes and obesity without heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Between January 2023 and June 2024, part 2 enrolled patients with type 2 diabetes, obesity, and HFpEF.
METHODS: Forty-two participants received 200 mg ninerafaxstat twice daily (part 1, n=21, 43% women, 72±0.5 years of age, 4-8 weeks; part 2, n=21, 29% women, 71±6 years of age, 12 weeks). Myocardial energetics (phosphocreatine-to-ATP ratio [PCr/ATP], primary outcome) and function (rest and dobutamine stress) were assessed before and after treatment using magnetic resonance imaging, 31P- and 1H magnetic resonance spectroscopy. In part 1, hyperpolarized [1-13C]pyruvate magnetic resonance spectroscopy to assess in vivo pyruvate dehydrogenase flux (n=9) and plasma metabolomics and proteomics were also performed.
RESULTS: In part 1, in patients with diabetes and obesity but without HFpEF, the heart was characterized by impaired pyruvate dehydrogenase flux, reduced PCr/ATP, triglyceride deposition, and diastolic impairment. Treatment with ninerafaxstat was associated with improved PCr/ATP (+0.39±0.49 [95% CI, 0.16-0.62]; Cohen's d, 0.79; P=0.002) and lower myocardial triglyceride (by 34%, P=0.03). In part 2, in patients with diabetes, obesity, and symptomatic HFpEF, the heart was characterized by reduced PCr/ATP, diastolic impairment, and failure of systolic augmentation to exercise. Consistently, treatment with ninerafaxstat was associated with improvement in PCr/ATP (+0.15±0.25 [95% CI, 0.03-0.26]; Cohen's d, 0.60; P=0.02), improved systolic augmentation to exercise (+1.4 L/min, P=0.04), improved exercise capacity (6-minute walk distance +16 m, P=0.02), and improved New York Heart Association class symptom burden.
CONCLUSIONS: These mechanistic phase 2a study results show that ninerafaxstat is safely tolerated and improves myocardial energetics in participants with obesity and diabetes without or with clinically manifest HFpEF.
REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT04826159.
2025
Plasma proteomic profiles associated with subclinical somatic mutations in blood cells may offer insights into downstream clinical consequences. Here we explore these patterns in clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP), which is linked to several cancer and non-cancer outcomes, including coronary artery disease (CAD). Among 61,833 participants (3881 with CHIP) from TOPMed and UK Biobank (UKB) with blood-based DNA sequencing and proteomic measurements (1,148 proteins by SomaScan in TOPMed and 2917 proteins by Olink in UKB), we identify 32 and 345 proteins from TOPMed and UKB, respectively, associated with CHIP and most prevalent driver genes (DNMT3A, TET2, and ASXL1). These associations show substantial heterogeneity by driver genes, sex, and race, and were enriched for immune response and inflammation pathways. Mendelian randomization in humans, coupled with ELISA in hematopoietic Tet2-/- vs wild-type mice validation, disentangle causal proteomic perturbations from TET2 CHIP. Lastly, we identify plasma proteins shared between CHIP and CAD.
Aging and age-related diseases share convergent pathways at the proteome level. Here, using plasma proteomics and machine learning, we developed organismal and ten organ-specific aging clocks in the UK Biobank (n = 43,616) and validated their high accuracy in cohorts from China (n = 3,977) and the USA (n = 800; cross-cohort r = 0.98 and 0.93). Accelerated organ aging predicted disease onset, progression and mortality beyond clinical and genetic risk factors, with brain aging being most strongly linked to mortality. Organ aging reflected both genetic and environmental determinants: brain aging was associated with lifestyle, the GABBR1 and ECM1 genes, and brain structure. Distinct organ-specific pathogenic pathways were identified, with the brain and artery clocks linking synaptic loss, vascular dysfunction and glial activation to cognitive decline and dementia. The brain aging clock further stratified Alzheimer's disease risk across APOE haplotypes, and a super-youthful brain appears to confer resilience to APOE4. Together, proteomic organ aging clocks provide a biologically interpretable framework for tracking aging and disease risk across diverse populations.
BACKGROUND: Cardiorespiratory fitness is an integrative measure of cardiometabolic health and predictor of survival, yet little is known about its molecular underpinnings. Small molecule metabolites and lipids are increasingly recognized as exercise-stimulated signaling molecules and candidate molecular transducers of cardiorespiratory fitness.
METHODS: We performed nontargeted liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry-based plasma metabolomics in 654 participants (mean age, 35 years; 55% women) from the HERITAGE Family Study (Health, Risk Factors, Exercise Training, and Genetics) who had cardiorespiratory fitness (maximal oxygen uptake [VO2max]) measured by cardiopulmonary exercise testing and underwent 20 weeks of supervised endurance training. Metabolite-VO2max relationships were assessed using linear regression and tested for replication in FHS (Framingham Heart Study) participants who also underwent cardiopulmonary exercise testing. Metabolite relationships with incident all-cause mortality ascertained in JHS (Jackson Heart Study) and MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) were tested using Cox regression. Experimental studies of cellular respiration and mitochondrial function were performed in C2C12 myotubes.
RESULTS: An unknown mass spectrometry peak (mass-to-charge, 385.3056; retention time, 3.69 minutes) had the strongest, positive relationship with VO2max (mL×kg-1min-1) after adjustment for age, sex, race, and lean body mass (β=1.29; false discovery rate q=5.3×10-6); was identified as N-palmitoyl glutamine (NPG) using tandem mass spectrometry and bioinformatics; and was confirmed with an authentic chemical standard. The biological role of NPG has not been described previously. The relationship of NPG with VO2max was validated in 408 participants from the FHS (β=1.2; P=3.8×10-5), and its levels increased after exercise training (log fold change=0.22; q=5.3×10-12). NPG levels were inversely associated with all-cause mortality in JHS and MESA (hazard ratio, 0.91 and 0.65 [P=0.029 and P=0.028], respectively). Previous studies have shown that structurally related biochemicals modulate energy homeostasis; thus, we performed mitochondrial experiments. NPG administration led to a dose-dependent increase in mitochondrial:nuclear DNA ratio compared with control treated cells (15% and 20% increases at 6.5 nM and 26 nM NPG, respectively [P=0.04 and P=0.02]) and improved bioenergetics (NPG at 26 nM increased the phosphate:oxygen ratio across ADP concentrations from 0 to 100 μM; ANOVA P=0.0027).
CONCLUSIONS: We identified a novel, lipidated amino acid, NPG, that is positively associated with VO2max, increases after regular aerobic exercise, and is inversely associated with incident mortality. NPG stimulates mitochondrial biogenesis and efficiency, demonstrating its potential role as an exercise-stimulated transducer of cardiorespiratory fitness.
Proteomic profiling may provide insights into new biomarkers and pathways in coronary heart disease (CHD). We profiled ∼1,300 proteins in 1,967 Black individuals in the Jackson Heart Study and found Secreted and Transmembrane Protein 1 (SECTM1), a monocyte chemoattractant, to be our top novel finding associated with incident CHD. We validated our findings in the Cardiovascular Health Study. The top variant (rs116473040) associated with SECTM1 was associated with circulating monocyte percentage of white blood cells in a genomic database. In vivo studies demonstrated that recombinant SECTM1a increased the proportion of proatherogenic Ly6Chi monocytes, suggesting a pathway by which SECTM1 may contribute to CHD.
Pressure overload initiates a series of alterations in the human heart that predate macroscopic organ-level remodeling and downstream heart failure. We study aortic stenosis through integrated proteomic, tissue transcriptomic, and genetic methods to prioritize targets causal in human heart failure. First, we identify the circulating proteome of cardiac remodeling in aortic stenosis, specifying known and previously-unknown mediators of fibrosis, hypertrophy, and oxidative stress, several associated with interstitial fibrosis in a separate cohort (N = 145). These signatures are strongly related to clinical outcomes in aortic stenosis (N = 802) and in broader at-risk populations in the UK Biobank (N = 36,668). We next map this remodeling proteome to myocardial transcription in patients with and without aortic stenosis through single-nuclear transcriptomics, observing broad differential expression of genes encoding this remodeling proteome, featuring fibrosis pathways and metabolic-inflammatory signaling. Finally, integrating our circulating and tissue-specific results with modern genetic approaches, we implicate several targets as causal in heart failure.
Vascular calcification represents a convergent pathological feature of diverse cardiovascular diseases, yet the upstream molecular programs orchestrating this process remain poorly defined. Here, we uncover fibronectin type III domain-containing 1 (FNDC1) as a previously unrecognized regulator of vascular calcification across both microvascular and macrovascular beds. Integrative transcriptomic profiling of human calciphylaxis lesions and atherosclerotic coronaries identified FNDC1 as one of the most significantly upregulated genes. In primary human vascular smooth muscle cells, FNDC1 drove osteogenic phenotype switch and vascular calcification through activation of PI3K/AKT signaling and metabolic reprogramming. Mechanistically, FNDC1 directly binds to nicotinamide phosphoribosyltransferase (NAMPT) resulting in elevated intracellular NAD⁺ levels, thus coupling vascular signaling to control of NAD⁺ biosynthesis. In murine models, genetic deletion of Fndc1 or pharmacologic inhibition of NAMPT suppressed arterial calcification and prolonged survival. Clinically, circulating FNDC1 levels were elevated in patients with both calciphylaxis and coronary artery disease and independently predicted cardiovascular risk in 42,687 UK Biobank participants. Together, these findings establish FNDC1 as a central mediator of vascular pathology and highlight the FNDC1- NAMPT-NAD + axis as a promising target for therapeutic intervention.