Publications

In 2015, Botswana introduced the quadrivalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine as a two-dose schedule in girls aged 9–13 years. We sought to establish a baseline HPV prevalence in unvaccinated young adults in Botswana. HIV-uninfected men and women aged 18–22 years were recruited from the University of Botswana in Gaborone during October 2019–February 2021. Demographic and behavioural characteristics were self-reported during structured interviews. Self-collected vaginal and penile swabs were tested for 28 HPV types using Seegene Anyplex II HPV28. We compared any HPV type, quadrivalent vaccine (HPV 6, 11, 16, 18)-type and non-quadrivalent vaccine-type prevalence in men and women and evaluated the risk factors for prevalence of any HPV type. A total of 493 men and 500 women were included in the analysis. Compared to men, women had higher prevalence of any HPV type (63.0% versus 31.4%, P < 0.001), vaccine-type HPV (21% versus 9.7%, P < 0.001) and non-vaccine-type HPV (60.4% versus 28.4%, P < 0.001). Higher prevalence of any HPV type in men and women was associated with having ≥2 sex partners in the past 12 months; always using condoms in the past 3 months was associated with a lower HPV prevalence. These data provide baseline information for future evaluation of the population impact of the HPV vaccination programme, including potential herd effects in men.

BACKGROUND: Delays in screening and timely diagnosis contribute significantly to global disparities in cervical cancer mortality in Botswana and other low- and middle-income countries, particularly those with high rates of HIV. Little is known about the modifiable factors shaping these delays from the perspectives of women themselves and how these perspectives may differ between those living with and without HIV.

METHODS: From March-May 2019, we conducted a concurrent, mixed methods study of women receiving treatment for cervical cancer at a multidisciplinary oncology clinic in Botswana. Enrolled participants completed a one-time, concurrent semi-structured interview and structured questionnaire assessing patient characteristics, screening and HIV-related beliefs and knowledge, and barriers and facilitators to screening and follow-up care. Qualitative data were analyzed using directed content analysis guided by the Model of Pathways to Treatment and triangulated with quantitative questionnaire data to identify areas of convergence and divergence. Fisher's exact tests were used to explore associations between questionnaire data (e.g., screening knowledge) and HIV status.

RESULTS: Forty-two women enrolled in the study, 64% of whom were living with HIV and 26% were diagnosed with stage III cervical cancer. Median age was 45 years (IQR 54-67) in those living with HIV and 64 years (IQR 42-53) in those living without. Overall screening rates before symptomatic disease were low (24%). Median time from most proximal screen to diagnosis was 52 median days (IQR 15-176), with no significant differences by HIV status. General screening knowledge was higher among those living with HIV versus those without (100% vs 73%; p < 0.05), but knowledge about HPV and other risk factors was low in both groups. Similar to questionnaire results, qualitative results indicate limited awareness of the need to be screened prior to symptoms as a central barrier to timely screening. Some participants also noted that delays in the receipt of screening results and fear also contributed to treatment delays. However, many participants also described myriad sources of social and tangible support that helped them to overcome some of these challenges.

CONCLUSION: Interventions focused on increasing routine screening and supporting timely awareness and access to care are needed to reduce global disparities in cervical cancer.

The majority of deaths from cervical cancer occur in low- and middle- income countries (LMICs). The standard of care for early-stage cervical cancer (FIGO 2018 IA2-IB1) is radical hysterectomy, a procedure performed by trained gynecologic oncologists. However, the lack of gynecologic oncologists in LMICs has required exploration into other methods of treatment for early-stage cervical cancer. A potential course of treatment for early-stage cervical cancer is neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by simple hysterectomy and pelvic lymph node sampling, which can be performed by a general gynecologist. We gathered data for 8 women who underwent this method of treatment and found that cause-specific survival was 100% over a 3.5-year median follow-up. These findings support the exploration for this method of treatment for early-stage cervical cancer in LMICs, which would improve access to treatment for these women and hopefully reduce the high burden of cervical cancer related deaths in LMICs.

OBJECTIVE: To present the stage distribution, patterns of care, and outcomes of patients from Botswana with invasive cervical cancer, living with or without HIV.

METHODS: Between 2013 and 2020, women with cervical cancer were prospectively enrolled in an observational cohort study.

RESULTS: A total of 1,043 patients were enrolled; 69% were women living with HIV. The median age of the cohort was 47 years (interquartile range [IQR] 40-58 years), with women living with HIV presenting at a younger age compared to women without HIV (44 versus 61 years, p < 0.001). Among women living with HIV, the median CD4 count at the time of cancer diagnosis was 429.5 cells/μL (IQR 240-619.5 cells/μL), 13% had a detectable viral load, and 95% were on antiretroviral therapy. In regard to treatment, 6% (n = 58) underwent surgery, 33% (n = 341) received radiation therapy, 51% (n = 531) received chemoradiation, and 7% (n = 76) did not receive treatment. Stage distribution in the cohort was as follows: I 17% (n = 173), II 37% (n = 388), III 35% (n = 368), and IV 8% (n = 88). For all patients, 2-year OS was 67%. In multivariable Cox regression, worse OS was associated with stage: II (HR 1.91, p = 0.007), III (HR 3.99, p < 0.001), and IV (HR 5.06, p < 0.001) compared to stage I. Improved OS was associated with hemoglobin > 10 g/dL (HR 0.51, p < 0.001) compared to Hb ≤ 10 g/dL.

CONCLUSIONS: Among women in Botswana with cervical cancer, most patients presented with stage II or III disease warranting radiation therapy or chemoradiation. While two-thirds of cervical cancer patients were women living with HIV, HIV did not impact OS.

BACKGROUND: Widespread lockdowns imposed during the coronavirus disease 2019 crisis may impact birth outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the association between the COVID-19 lockdown and the risk of adverse birth outcomes in Botswana.

STUDY DESIGN: In response to the coronavirus disease 2019 crisis, Botswana enforced a lockdown that restricted movement within the country. We used data from an ongoing nationwide birth outcomes surveillance study to evaluate adverse outcomes (stillbirth, preterm birth, small-for-gestational-age fetuses, and neonatal death) and severe adverse outcomes (stillbirth, very preterm birth, very-small-for-gestational-age fetuses, and neonatal death) recorded prelockdown (January 1, 2020-April 2, 2020), during lockdown (April 3, 2020-May 7, 2020), and postlockdown (May 8, 2020-July 20, 2020). Using difference-in-differences analyses, we compared the net change in each outcome from the prelockdown to lockdown periods in 2020 relative to the same 2 periods in 2017-2019 with the net change in each outcome from the prelockdown to postlockdown periods in 2020 relative to the same 2 periods in 2017-2019.

RESULTS: In this study, 68,448 women delivered a singleton infant in 2017-2020 between January 1 and July 20 and were included in our analysis (mean [interquartile range] age of mothers, 26 [22-32] years). Across the included calendar years and periods, the risk of any adverse outcome ranged from 27.92% to 31.70%, and the risk of any severe adverse outcome ranged from 8.40% to 11.38%. The lockdown period was associated with a 0.81 percentage point reduction (95% confidence interval, -2.95% to 1.30%) in the risk of any adverse outcome (3% relative reduction) and a 0.02 percentage point reduction (95% confidence interval, -0.79% to 0.75%) in the risk of any severe adverse outcome (0% relative reduction). The postlockdown period was associated with a 1.72 percentage point reduction (95% confidence, -3.42% to 0.02%) in the risk of any adverse outcome (5% relative reduction) and a 1.62 percentage point reduction (95% confidence interval, -2.69% to -0.55%) in the risk of any severe adverse outcome (14% relative reduction). Reductions in adverse outcomes were largest among women with human immunodeficiency virus and among women delivering at urban delivery sites, driven primarily by reductions in preterm birth and small-for-gestational-age fetuses.

CONCLUSION: Adverse birth outcomes decreased from the prelockdown to postlockdown periods in 2020, relative to the change during the same periods in 2017-2019. Our findings may provide insights into associations between mobility and birth outcomes in Botswana and other low- and middle-income countries.

INTRODUCTION: Antiretrovirals such as dolutegravir (DTG) and tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) have been associated with excessive weight gain. The objective of this study was to understand the potential impact of ART-associated weight gain on pregnancy outcomes among women living with HIV.

METHODS: Using data from the Tsepamo birth outcomes surveillance study in Botswana, we evaluated the relationship between maternal weight (and weight gain) and severe birth outcomes (very preterm delivery <32 weeks, very small for gestational age (SGA) <3rd percentile, perinatal death), macrosomia (birthweight > 4000 g) and maternal hypertension. We estimated the relative risk of each outcome by baseline weight (first weight in pregnancy <24 weeks) and second trimester average weekly weight gain (kg/week from 12 ± 2 to 24 ± 2 weeks) using log binomial regression and evaluated effect modification by ART regimen (DTG vs. Efavirenz (EFV)).

RESULTS: Of 22,828 women on ART at conception with singleton deliveries between August 2014 and April 2020, 16,300 (71.4%) had a weight measured <24 weeks' gestation (baseline weight) and 4437 (19.2%) had weight measured both at 12 (±2) weeks and 24 (±2) weeks, allowing second trimester weight gain calculation. Compared to women with baseline weight 60 to 70 kg, low baseline weight (<50 kg) was associated with increased risk of very preterm delivery (aRR 1.30, 95% CI 1.03, 1.65) and very SGA (aRR1.96, 95% CI 1.69, 2.28). High baseline weight (>90 kg) was associated with increased risk of macrosomia (aRR 3.24, 95% CI 2.36, 4.44) and maternal hypertension (aRR 1.79, 95% CI 1.62, 1.97). Baseline weight was not associated with stillbirth or early neonatal death. For all outcomes, second trimester weight gain showed weaker associations than did baseline weight. Duration of pre-pregnancy ART (years) was associated with higher baseline weight for DTG but not for EFV, and the risk of maternal hypertension by baseline weight category was higher for DTG than EFV for all strata.

CONCLUSIONS: ART regimens associated with weight gain may reduce the number of women at risk for certain severe adverse pregnancy outcomes associated with low weight but increase the number at risk of macrosomia and maternal hypertension. Further research could determine whether weight-based ART treatment strategies improve maternal and child health.

BACKGROUND: Cervical cancer is the leading cause of female cancer mortality in Botswana with the majority of cervical cancer patients presenting with late-stage disease. The identification of factors associated with late-stage disease could reduce the cervical cancer burden. This study aims to identify potential patient level clinical and sociodemographic factors associated with a late-stage diagnosis of cervical cancer in Botswana in order to help inform future interventions at the community and individual levels to decrease cervical cancer morbidity and mortality.

RESULTS: There were 984 women diagnosed with cervical cancer from January 2015 to March 2020 at two tertiary hospitals in Gaborone, Botswana. Four hundred forty women (44.7%) presented with late-stage cervical cancer, and 674 women (69.7%) were living with HIV. The mean age at diagnosis was 50.5 years. The association between late-stage (III/IV) cervical cancer at diagnosis and patient clinical and sociodemographic factors was evaluated using multivariable logistic regression with multiple imputation. Women who reported undergoing cervical cancer screening had lower odds of late-stage disease at diagnosis (OR: 0.63, 95% CI 0.47-0.84) compared to those who did not report screening. Women who had never been married had increased odds of late-stage disease at diagnosis (OR: 1.35, 95% CI 1.02-1.86) compared to women who had been married. Women with abnormal vaginal bleeding had higher odds of late-stage disease at diagnosis (OR: 2.32, 95% CI 1.70-3.16) compared to those without abnormal vaginal bleeding. HIV was not associated with a diagnosis of late-stage cervical cancer. Rural women who consulted a traditional healer had increased odds of late-stage disease at diagnosis compared to rural women who had never consulted a traditional healer (OR: 1.61, 95% CI 1.02-2.55).

CONCLUSION: Increasing education and awareness among women, regardless of their HIV status, and among providers, including traditional healers, about the benefits of cervical cancer screening and about the importance of seeking prompt medical care for abnormal vaginal bleeding, while also developing support systems for unmarried women, may help reduce cervical cancer morbidity and mortality in Botswana.

OBJECTIVE: Cervical cancer remains the most common cancer among women in sub-Saharan Africa and is also a leading cause of cancer related deaths among these women. The benefit of chemoradiation in comparison with radiation alone for patients with stage IIIB disease has not been evaluated prospectively in women living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). We assessed the survival of chemoradiation versus radiation alone among stage IIIB cervical cancer patients based on HIV status.

METHODS: Between February 2013 and June 2018, patients with International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) 2009 stage IIIB cervical cancer with or without HIV and treated with chemoradiation or radiation alone, were prospectively enrolled in an observational cohort study. Overall survival was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to analyze associations with survival.

RESULTS: Among 187 patients, 63% (n=118) of women had co-infection with HIV, and 48% (n=69) received chemoradiation. Regardless of HIV status, patients who received chemoradiation had improved 2 year overall survival compared with those receiving radiation alone (59% vs 41%, p<0.01), even among women living with HIV (60% vs 38%, p=0.02). On multivariable Cox regression analysis, including all patients regardless of HIV status, 2 year overall survival was associated with receipt of chemoradiation (hazard ratio (HR) 0.63, p=0.04) and total radiation dose ≥80 Gy (HR 0.57, p=0.02). Among patients who received an adequate radiation dose of ≥80 Gy, adjusted overall survival rates were similar between chemoradiation versus radiation alone groups (HR 1.07; p=0.90). However, patients who received an inadequate radiation dose of <80 Gy, adjusted survival was significantly higher in chemoradiation versus radiation alone group (HR 0.45, p=0.01).

CONCLUSIONS: Addition of chemotherapy to standard radiation improved overall survival, regardless of HIV status, and is even more essential in women who cannot receive full doses of radiation.

BACKGROUND: Vaginal discharge syndrome (VDS) is a common clinical diagnosis during pregnancy in Botswana; it is treated with broad-spectrum antibiotics using a syndromic approach. We evaluated associations between the syndromic management of VDS and adverse birth outcomes.

METHODS: The Tsepamo Study performs birth outcomes surveillance at government hospitals throughout Botswana. Obstetric record data collected from August 2014 to March 2019 were analyzed. Chi-square tests were conducted to compare proportions of maternal characteristics and infant outcomes. To avoid immortal time bias, all analyses were conducted among women who presented to care before 24 weeks gestation, with VDS categorized as present or absent by 24 weeks gestation. Log-binomial regression models were generated to determine associations between treated VDS and infant outcomes.

RESULTS: VDS was diagnosed in 36 731 (30.7%) pregnant women, of whom 33 328 (90.7%) received antibiotics. Adjusted analyses yielded a harmful association between treated VDS and very preterm delivery (adjusted risk ratio, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.02-1.21). This association remained when restricting to women with VDS who received the recommended antibiotic treatment regimen. Sensitivity analyses produced nonsignificant associations when women with treated VDS were compared with women without VDS who received antibiotics for other indications.

CONCLUSIONS: A clinical diagnosis of VDS is common among pregnant women in Botswana, and the majority receive antibiotics in pregnancy. Although analyses of VDS occurring later in pregnancy are precluded by immortal time bias, a modest association between treated VDS and very preterm delivery was observed among women diagnosed with VDS by 24 weeks gestation.