Prediction models for cognitive aging measures have largely evaluated demographic variables and APOE carrier status in populations of European ancestry. To comprehensively assess prediction models among Hispanic/Latinos, we considered 12 models (6 predictor sets and 2 methods) for global cognitive score change (GCSC) and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) in the Study of Latinos-Investigation of Neurocognitive Aging (SOL-INCA) (N = 5856). Based on the average mean squared error (MSE) for GCSC or average area under the curve (AUC) for MCI across 100 randomly split testing and training sets, performance was similar across models, but slightly better for the following models: the chronic conditions model and genetic model (mean MSEs = 0.2464) using gradient-boosted trees for GCSC prediction and the chronic conditions model (mean AUC = 62%) and metabolite model (mean AUC = 60%) using logistic regression for MCI prediction. Using the Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) method, age at baseline, time between exams, and sex were the most important predictors for GCSC, followed by diabetes and global ancestral proportions. Diabetes and the metabolite ribitol had the highest influence on prediction of MCI. Although prediction performance was not especially high and did not vary greatly across models, incorporating information on diabetes, ancestry and metabolites may help improve prediction of GCSC and MCI.
Publications by Year: 2026
2026
In admixed populations, formed by a mixing of two or more previously isolated populations, genomic segments can be traced to their ancestral populations ('ancestries'). Admixture mapping (AM) associates local ancestry with outcomes in admixed populations, detecting signals when causal variants differ in frequency or effect across ancestral populations. Prior work showed that adjusting for nearby GWAS-identified common variants does not fully explain some AM signals. Here, we assessed two approaches to explain the previously unexplained AM signal: (1) including sets of rare variants; (2) increasing the genomic region considered when searching for common variants. We studied these hypotheses comprehensively using a whole-genome sequencing dataset coupled with metabolomics from the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos. From 16 genomic regions of interest, we identified 35 rare-variant sets associated with metabolite levels, of which 4 associations replicated. The locations of identified rare variant sets are either within the same gene or in proximity to adjusted common variants. Overall, our study provides new insight into the genetic architecture underlying AM signals via evaluating the contributions of common and rare variant sets. By integrating rare-variant analysis within the AM framework, our work highlights the potential interplay between variant types and establishes a novel strategy to guide future fine-mapping and causal variant identification in admixed populations. Yet the detected rare variants appear to explain only a small fraction of the AM signal, while inclusion of common variants from a larger genomic region appears to explain most of the AM signals.
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Deviations from the population mean in sleep duration have been associated with increased risk for developing dyslipidemia and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, but the mechanism of effect is poorly characterized. We performed large-scale genome-wide gene-sleep interaction analyses of lipid levels to identify genetic variants underpinning the biomolecular pathways of sleep-associated lipid disturbances and to suggest possible druggable targets.
METHODS: We collected data from 55 cohorts with a combined sample size of 732,564 participants (87 % European ancestry) with data on lipid traits (high-density lipoprotein [HDL-c] and low-density lipoprotein [LDL-c] cholesterol and triglycerides [TG]). Short (STST) and long (LTST) total sleep time were defined by the extreme 20 % of the age- and sex-standardized values within each cohort. Based on cohort-level summary statistics data, we performed meta-analyses for one-degree of freedom tests of interaction and two-degree of freedom joint tests of the SNP-main and -interaction effect on lipid levels.
RESULTS: The one-degree of freedom variant-sleep interaction test identified 10 novel loci (Pint<5.0e-9), and we additionally identify 7 loci within the two-degree of freedom analyses (Pjoint<5.0e-9 in combination with Pint<6.6e-6). Multiple loci, including those mapped to APSH (target for aspartic and succinic acid) and SLC8A1 showed biological plausibility and druggability potential based on literature.
CONCLUSIONS: Collectively, the 17 (9 with short and 8 with long sleep) loci provided evidence into the biomolecular mechanisms underlying sleep-associated lipid changes, including potential involvement of the vitamin D receptor pathway. Collectively, these findings may contribute developing novel interventions for treating dyslipidemia in people with sleep disturbances.
Gene-environment interactions may enhance our understanding of blood pressure (BP) biology. We conducted a meta-analysis of multi-population genome-wide association studies (GWASs) of BP traits accounting for gene-depressive symptomatology (DEPR) interactions. Our study included 564,680 adults from 67 cohorts and four population backgrounds: African (5%), Asian (7%), European (85%), and Hispanic (3%). We discovered seven previously unreported BP loci showing gene-DEPR interaction. These loci mapped to genes implicated in neurogenesis (TGFA and CASP3), lipid metabolism (ACSL1), neuronal apoptosis (CASP3), and synaptic activity (CNTN6 and DBI). We also showed evidence for gene-DEPR interaction at nine known BP loci, further suggesting links between mood disturbance and BP regulation. Of the 16 identified loci, 11 were derived from non-European populations. Post-GWAS analyses prioritized 36 genes, including genes involved in synaptic functions (DOCK4 and MAGI2) and neuronal signaling (CCK, UGDH, and SLC01A2). Integrative druggability analyses identified 11 druggable candidate gene targets linked to pathways involved in mood disorders as well as known anti-hypertensive drugs. Our findings emphasize the importance of considering gene-DEPR interactions on BP, particularly in non-European populations. Our prioritized genes and druggable targets highlight biological pathways connecting mood disorders and hypertension and suggest opportunities for BP drug repurposing and risk factor prevention, especially in individuals with DEPR.
BACKGROUND: Whole genome sequence (WGS) data in multi-ancestry samples supports discovery of low-frequency or population-specific genetic variants associated with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and lung function.
RESULTS: We performed single variant, structural variant, and gene-based analysis of pulmonary function (FEV1, FVC and FEV1/FVC) and COPD case-control status in 44,287 multi-ancestry participants from the NHLBI Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine (TOPMed) Program. We validated findings using the UK Biobank and assessed implicated genes using lung single-cell RNA-seq (scRNA-seq) data sets. Applying a genome-wide significance threshold (P < 5 × 10-9), we replicated known loci and identified novel associations near LY86, MAGI1, GRK7, and LINC02668. Colocalization with gene expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) from the Lung Tissue Research Consortium highlighted known candidate genes including ADAM19, THSD4, C4B, and PSMA4, which were not identified through other eQTL sources. Multi-ancestry analysis improved fine-mapping resolution (e.g., HTR4 and RIN3). Gene-based analysis identified and replicated HMCN1. In human lung scRNA-seq data sets, lung epithelial cells and immune cell types showed enriched expression, while fibroblasts showed higher expression for HMCN1. CRISPR targeting HMCN1 in IMR90 demonstrated reduced expression of collagen genes.
CONCLUSIONS: Large-scale multi-ancestry WGS analysis improves variant discovery and fine-mapping resolution for lung function and COPD and highlights biologically relevant genes and pathways.
Polygenic scores (PGSs) offer moderate to high prediction accuracy for complex traits, but most are developed in European ancestry cohorts, reducing their performance in populations of other ancestries. This study aimed to improve standing height prediction, a heritable and ancestry-influenced trait, in an admixed Latino cohort, the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos (HCHS/SOL), by modeling ancestry using principal components (PCs) alongside PGSs. SNPs were selected from a large European ancestry genome-wide association study (GWAS) using various p value thresholds, and weights were trained using traditional and penalized regression in the UK Biobank (UKB). PGSs with PCs were trained separately in the HCHS/SOL and UKB. Compared to PGSs alone, modeling PGSs with PCs moderately improved height prediction in the HCHS/SOL (squared correlation [R2] increase of ∼0.05), while mild improvements were observed in the UKB (R2 increase of ∼0.01). These results underscore the importance of incorporating genetic ancestry into predictive models for admixed populations, particularly when the trait exhibits ancestry-specific associations.
INTRODUCTION: Sex hormones shape biological sex differences and alter the onset and severity of sleep and metabolic diseases in a sex-specific manner. To better understand relationships and underlying mechanisms, we develop summary proteomics and metabolomics scores for sex hormones and investigate their associations with sleep and metabolic disorders.
METHODS: We used proteome- (n= 3680) and metabolome- wide (n= 1649) data from the baseline exam of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) cohort to develop female- and male-specific omics scores for sex hormones including total (Total T), bioavailable (Bio T), and free (Free T) testosterone, estradiol (E2) and sex hormone binding protein (SHBG). Each omics dataset was randomly split assigning 80% of participants to a training dataset and the remaining 20% to a test dataset. We applied linear regression with bootstrap standard errors, adjusting for age, BMI, self-reported race/ ethnicity and study site, to identify sex hormone-associated proteins and metabolites (i.e FDR< .05). Lasso penalized regression was then used to select independent features, from which weighted protein (ProtS) and metabolite scores (MetS) were constructed as weighted sums, and examined in the validation dataset. Subsequently, we conducted sex-stratified association analysis of the validated omics scores using data from MESA baseline, exams 4 (proteomics) and 5 (proteomics, metabolomics) with sleep and metabolic phenotypes, timepoints where sex hormones were not measured.
RESULTS: All constructed omics scores were significantly associated with their corresponding hormones in the test dataset. Higher omics scores of SHBG and lower omics scores of Free T were associated with lower diabetes risk in both sexes; and higher E2 scores with higher incident hypertension risk only in men. In males, Total T had protective diabetes associations, whereas in females they were linked to greater risk. Similarly, higher ProtS-Free T and lower ProtS-SHBG were associated with increased risk for OSA in both sexes. Finally, higher E2 scores were associated with higher risk of insomnia only in males.
CONCLUSIONS: Summary omics-based scores reveal sex-specific cross-sectional associations with sleep and incident metabolic disorders. These findings highlight the potential of these omics proxies to improve risk stratification and generate insights into mechanisms linking sex hormones with disease.
STUDY OBJECTIVES: Since genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of sleep phenotypes have been conducted in differing populations and definitions of sleep phenotypes vary across studies, we investigated associations between several polygenic risk scores (PRSs) and potential sleep definitions among multiethnic cohorts.
METHODS: Using data from four cohorts (HCHS/SOL, ARIC, MESA, BHS, N = 16 895), we considered multiple definitions of short and long sleep, insomnia, and excessive daytime sleepiness (EDS). PRSs were developed based on summary statistics from GWAS in European ancestry individuals from the UK Biobank (UKB) and from GWAS conducted in a multiethnic population from the Million Veteran Program (MVP). Study-specific analyses estimated associations between sleep PRSs and corresponding sleep measures per 1 standard deviation increase in the PRS. Models were adjusted for age, sex, ancestral principal components, and center and race as appropriate. Results were meta-analyzed across studies.
RESULTS: PRSs based on European ancestry UKB GWAS had statistically significant associations with multiple definitions of the corresponding sleep phenotypes. Associations that were most consistent across studies included: short sleep PRS with ≤6 hours (OR = 1.23,p = 1.80x10-7,phet = 0.97); long sleep PRS with ≥9 hours (OR = 1.09,p = 6.76x10-4,phet = 0.77); insomnia PRS with the Women's Health Initiative Insomnia Rating Scale (WHIIRS) ≥10 or a subset of three questions ≥6 in ARIC (OR = 1.17,p = 5.51x10-10,phet = 0.69); and EDS PRS with Epworth Sleepiness Scale (ESS) ≥11 (OR = 1.23,p = 1.83x10-13,phet = 0.83). PRSs based on multi-ancestry MVP GWAS had weaker associations compared to those based on European ancestry only.
CONCLUSIONS: By evaluating several types of sleep PRSs and sleep phenotypes, we were able to highlight which sleep PRS performed well across diverse populations and which sleep definitions better captured genetic underpinnings.
BACKGROUND: The APOE ε4 allele has weaker association with ADRD outcomes in Hispanic/Latino populations compared to non-Hispanic White and East Asian populations.
METHODS: We used whole-genome sequencing data from 13,025 Hispanic/Latino adults to infer population groups (clusters) from short DNA sequences at the APOE gene region. We estimated the associations between these clusters and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and age-adjusted significant cognitive decline assessed via the Study of Latinos-Investigation of Neurocognitive Aging (SOL-INCA) study (n = 5334). We compared these associations to those of the conventional APOE alleles.
RESULTS: We identified three clusters of individuals. Relative to the largest Cluster 1, being in Cluster 3 had higher likelihood of having significant cognitive decline, with odds ratio (OR) = 1.47, 95% confidence interval (CI) [1.18, 1.84], p < 0.001. The association with having prevalent MCI at the SOL-INCA exam was not statistically significant, with OR = 1.33, 95% CI [0.97, 1.83], p = 0.08. Associations of the ε4 allele with these traits were not statistically significant.
DISCUSSION: The new APOE profile has stronger risk association with age-adjusted significant cognitive decline in SOL-INCA Hispanics/Latinos compared to the ε4 allele.