Publications

2025

Penko, Joanne M, Brandon K Bellows, Susan Hennessy, Dhruv S Kazi, Ross Boylan, Yiyi Zhang, Pamela G Coxson, Lee Goldman, Kirsten Bibbins-Domingo, and Andrew E Moran. (2025) 2025. “Cost-Effectiveness of Hypertension Treatment According to 2017 American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association Guidelines.”. Circulation. Cardiovascular Quality and Outcomes 18 (8): e011872. https://doi.org/10.1161/CIRCOUTCOMES.124.011872.

BACKGROUND: Compared with the 2003 Seventh Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure (JNC7) guideline, the 2017 American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association guideline (ACC/AHA 2017) expanded hypertension diagnostic criteria to blood pressure (BP) ≥130/80 mm Hg and intensified treatment goals to <130/80 mm Hg. The cost-effectiveness of ACC/AHA 2017 guideline treatment has not been quantified.

METHODS: We used the Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) Policy Model to simulate hypertension treatment according to ACC/AHA 2017 compared with JNC7 in untreated US adults aged 35 to 79 years. Outcomes were projected over 10 years and included CVD events and deaths, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and total health care costs (ie, costs of antihypertensive treatment and costs of health care utilization for cardiovascular and noncardiovascular care, regardless of payer). Cost-effectiveness was calculated from a health care sector perspective as incremental health care costs divided by incremental QALYs.

RESULTS: Under ACC/AHA 2017, 4.9 million more US adults are indicated for treatment and 14.9 million are recommended more intensive treatment goals compared with JNC7. Over 10 years, ACC/AHA 2017 versus JNC7 treatment would cost $48 300 per QALY gained ($38 300/QALY in men; $65 200/QALY in women). Overall, 34% of CVD events prevented by ACC/AHA 2017 versus JNC7 would be from expanded diagnosis (at $120 900/QALY gained), and 66% from intensified BP treatment goals (at $18 900/QALY gained). Cost-effectiveness improved with a longer time horizon ($17 600 per QALY gained at 30 years) and when generic drug costs were assumed in place of median US drug costs ($27 900 per QALY gained in 10 years). ACC/AHA 2017 is cost-saving in adults with BP ≥140/90 mm Hg and prior CVD or 10-year CVD risk ≥10%.

CONCLUSIONS: Initiating hypertension treatment according to the ACC/AHA 2017 guideline in untreated US adults is cost-effective compared with JNC7 at 10 years. Prioritizing low-cost generic medicines and intensive BP treatment of high-CVD-risk adults with BP ≥140/90 mm Hg returns the most value.

Johnson, Neil, Joe Vandigo, Fernanda de Carvalho, Celina Gorre, Tanya Hall, Susan E Hennessy, Dhruv S Kazi, et al. (2025) 2025. “Experiences of People Diagnosed With High Levels of LDL Cholesterol and Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease: Results from a Multinational Qualitative Study.”. Global Heart 20 (1): 63. https://doi.org/10.5334/gh.1441.

BACKGROUND: Elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels are a leading risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), a major global cause of illness and death. Patients' qualitative insights about experiences, priorities, and needs are essential for creating more targeted, patient-centered quality improvement interventions.

OBJECTIVES: To document the experiences of people with high levels of low-density LDL-C in three countries.

METHODS: Qualitative study of 60-min in-depth interviews with 50 adult patients from Australia, Brazil, and the United States. The study was overseen by a Steering Committee comprising patients, patient advocates, researchers, and cardiologists. The interviews explored pathways and barriers to high LDL-C diagnosis; the burden of managing high LDL-C and the awareness of the association between high LDL-C and cardiovascular risks. The data were analyzed by applying a structured, team-based approach to coding qualitative data.

RESULTS: There were three main pathways to diagnosing high cholesterol: routine physical exams conducted by primary care providers; symptomatic presentations or incidental findings during emergency visits and through a healthcare visit for another condition, frequently diabetes. Healthcare providers' communication styles influenced patients' perceptions of their conditions. Two-thirds of participants (n = 33) attempted lifestyle changes after their high cholesterol diagnosis, but work schedules and daily routines posed barriers to maintaining healthy habits. Some participants who experienced ASCVD events waited hours or days before seeking care, assuming their symptoms were not serious. After diagnosis of an ASCVD event, many patients feared death and worried about their families' futures. When asked about potential improvements to their current therapy, 21 patients mentioned reduced administration frequency.

CONCLUSIONS: This pilot study provides insights into patients' experiences living with and managing elevated LDL-C. It describes opportunities for policymakers and healthcare providers to improve the detection of elevated LDL-C and support patients in understanding risks and strategies for reducing the risk of ASCVD events.

Chiang, Cho-Han, Yu-Cheng Chang, Chun-Chiao Yu, Xin Ya See, Tsu Hsien Wang, Nutchapon Xanthavanij, Junmin Song, et al. (2025) 2025. “Glucagon-Like Peptide 1 Receptor Agonists and Risk of Venous Thromboembolism: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials.”. Journal of Thrombosis and Haemostasis : JTH. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtha.2025.06.020.

BACKGROUND: Obesity is an established risk factor for venous thromboembolism (VTE). Observational data suggest that glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) may reduce the risk of VTE. However, the effects of GLP-1RAs on VTE have not been tested in randomized controlled trials (RCTs).

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the impact of GLP-1RAs on VTE risk using data from RCTs.

METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of placebo-controlled RCTs focusing on GLP-1RA use in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) or obesity. Five databases were searched from inception to October 2024. The primary outcome was VTE, which was a composite of pulmonary embolism (PE), deep vein thrombosis (DVT), and VTE at other sites, and the secondary outcomes were the individual events.

RESULTS: Twenty-seven RCTs with 84,003 patients were analyzed. The median incidence of VTE was 1.1 and 2.5 per 1,000 patient-years in the GLP-1RA and placebo groups, respectively. There was no statistically significant difference in overall VTE risk between GLP-1RA and placebo groups (RR 0.70, 95% CI 0.46-1.07). However, GLP-1RAs were associated with a significantly lower risk of PE (RR 0.60, 95% CI 0.39-0.94). In contrast, there were no significant differences in the risk of DVT (RR 1.24, 95% CI 0.67-2.27) or VTE at other sites (RR 0.56, 95% CI 0.25-1.26).

CONCLUSIONS: In this meta-analysis of randomized trials, GLP-1RAs were not associated with a significant reduction in overall VTE risk but were associated with a lower risk of PE among patients with T2DM or obesity.

King, Sara J, Tenzin Yeshi Wangdak Yuthok, Adrian M Bacong, Abha Khandelwal, Dhruv S Kazi, Michael E Mussolino, Sally S Wong, et al. (2025) 2025. “Heart Disease Mortality in the United States, 1970 to 2022.”. Journal of the American Heart Association, e038644. https://doi.org/10.1161/JAHA.124.038644.

BACKGROUND: Studying trends in mortality is essential to advance understanding of population health. Further evaluation of long-term heart disease mortality trends and subtypes in the United States is needed to guide public health and clinical interventions.

METHODS: This study used the National Vital Statistics System Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research data for adults aged 25 years and older in the United States from 1970 to 2022. Outcomes included absolute number and age-adjusted mortality of total heart disease, ischemic heart disease, and other heart disease subtypes.

RESULTS: From 1970 to 2022, overall age-adjusted heart disease mortality decreased by 66% from 1970 to 2022 (from 761 to 258 per 100 000). In 1970, 91% of all heart disease deaths were ischemic, declining to 53% of all heart disease deaths in 2022. From 1970 to 2022, age-adjusted mortality decreased by 89% for acute myocardial infarction (from 354 to 40 per 100 000) and 81% for all ischemic heart disease (from 693 to 135 per 100 00). In contrast, from 1970 to 2022 age-adjusted mortality for other heart disease subtypes increased by 81% (from 68 to 123 per 100 000), with the greatest increases in heart failure (146% increase), hypertensive heart disease (106% increase) and arrhythmias (450% increase).

CONCLUSIONS: Heart disease mortality has decreased over the past 5 decades. There is an increasing burden of mortality from other heart conditions including heart failure, hypertensive heart disease, and arrhythmias. Further efforts must be undertaken to address the growing challenge of these other heart conditions.