Publications

We have proposed to the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) that treatment-related increases in total hip BMD (TH BMD) at 2 yr could be a surrogate endpoint for fracture risk reduction in clinical trials. The qualification of a surrogate includes a strong association of the surrogate with the clinical outcome. We compiled a large database of individual patient data (IPD) through the Foundation for the National Institutes of Health-American Society for Bone and Mineral Research- A Study to Advance BMD as a Regulatory Endpoint (FNIH-ASBMR-SABRE) project, and this analysis aimed to assess the relationship between baseline BMD and fracture risk in the placebo groups. We estimated the association of baseline TH, femoral neck (FN), and lumbar spine (LS) BMD with fracture risk using IPD from the combined placebo groups, which included data from 46 666 placebo participants in 25 RCTs. We estimated the relative risk (RR) of fracture per SD decrease in baseline BMD using logistic regression models for radiographic vertebral fractures and proportional hazards models for hip, non-vertebral, "all," and "all clinical" fractures. Total person-years in the combined placebo groups was 250 662 (mean baseline age 70.2 ± 7.2 yr, mean TH BMD T-score -1.97 ± 0.90). We observed significant relationships between baseline TH BMD and vertebral (RR = 1.55/SD), hip (RR = 2.27), non-vertebral (RR = 1.31), all (RR = 1.43), and all clinical (RR = 1.35) fracture risk. Fracture risk estimates were similar for FN BMD and after adjustment for age, race, and study. Fracture incidence increased with decreasing TH BMD quintile, confirming the strong graded association between TH BMD and fracture risk. There was a strong relationship between LS BMD and vertebral fracture risk (RR = 1.56/SD), but only a weak association with non-vertebral (RR = 1.07) and no association with hip (RR = 1.01) fracture risk. These data support the very strong relationship between hip BMD and fracture risk and provide supporting rationale for change in TH BMD as a surrogate for fracture risk reduction in future RCTs.

UNLABELLED: Up to 40% of elite athletes experience bone stress injuries (BSIs), with 20-30% facing reinjury. Early identification of runners at high risk of subsequent BSI could improve prevention strategies. However, the complex etiology and multifactorial risk factors of BSIs makes identifying predictive risk factors challenging. In a study of 30 female recreational athletes with tibial BSIs, 10 experienced additional BSIs over a 1-year period, prompting investigation of systemic biomarkers of subsequent BSIs using aptamer-based proteomic technology. We hypothesized that early proteomic signatures could discriminate runners who experienced subsequent BSIs. 1,500 proteins related to metabolic, immune, and bone healing pathways were examined. Using supervised machine learning and genetic programming methods, we analyzed serum protein signatures over the 1-year monitoring period. Models were also created with clinical metrics, including standard-of-care blood analysis, bone density measures, and health histories. Protein signatures collected within three weeks of BSI diagnosis achieved the greatest separation by sparse partial least squares discriminant analysis (sPLS-DA), clustering single and recurrent BSI individuals with a mean accuracy of 96 ± 0.02%. Genetic programming models independently verified the presence of candidate biomarkers, including fumarylacetoacetase, osteopontin, and trypsin-2, which significantly outperformed clinical metrics. Time-course differential expression analysis highlighted 112 differentially expressed proteins in individuals with additional BSIs. Gene set enrichment analysis mapped these proteins to pathways indicating increased fibrin clot formation and decreased immune signaling in recurrent BSI individuals. These findings provide new insights into biomarkers and dysregulated protein pathways associated with recurrent BSI and may lead to new preventative or therapeutic intervention strategies.

ONE SENTENCE SUMMARY: Our study identified candidate serum biomarkers to predict subsequent bone stress injuries in female runners, offering new insights for clinical monitoring and interventions.

Type 1 diabetes (T1D) is associated with an increased risk of hip fracture beyond what can be explained by reduced bone mineral density, possibly due to changes in bone material from accumulation of advanced glycation end-products (AGEs) and altered matrix composition, though data from human cortical bone in T1D are limited. The objective of this study was to evaluate cortical bone material behavior in T1D by examining specimens from cadaveric femora from older adults with long-duration T1D (≥50 yr; n = 20) and age- and sex-matched nondiabetic controls (n = 14). Cortical bone was assessed by mechanical testing (4-point bending, cyclic reference point indentation, impact microindentation), AGE quantification [total fluorescent AGEs, pentosidine, carboxymethyl lysine (CML)], and matrix composition via Raman spectroscopy. Cortical bone from older adults with T1D had diminished postyield toughness to fracture (-30%, p = .036), elevated levels of AGEs (pentosidine, +17%, p = .039), lower mineral crystallinity (-1.4%, p = .010), greater proline hydroxylation (+1.9%, p = .009), and reduced glycosaminoglycan (GAG) content (-1.3%, p < .03) compared to nondiabetics. In multiple regression models to predict cortical bone toughness, cortical tissue mineral density, CML, and Raman spectroscopic measures of enzymatic collagen crosslinks and GAG content remained highly significant predictors of toughness, while diabetic status was no longer significant (adjusted R2 > 0.60, p < .001). Thus, the impairment of cortical bone to absorb energy following long-duration T1D is well explained by AGE accumulation and modifications to the bone matrix. These results provide novel insight into the pathogenesis of skeletal fragility in individuals with T1D.

Vertebral compression fractures (VFs) and spinal degeneration are both common causes of back pain, particularly in older adults. Previous cross-sectional studies have shown a potential association between these entities, but there is limited evidence on the role of VFs in spinal degeneration. In this longitudinal study, we evaluated the association between prevalent VFs and the subsequent progression of facet joint osteoarthritis (FJOA) and intervertebral disc height narrowing (DHN), using data from the Framingham Heart Study Offspring and Third Generation Multi-Detector Computed Tomography study. Summary indices representing the total burden of each spinal parameter (VFs, DHN and FJOA) were calculated for each individual. We hypothesized that prevalent VFs are associated with worsening spinal degeneration. 370 (31%) of 1197 participants, had a baseline (prevalent) VF. The change in summary index of DHN over the follow-up period was significantly higher in those with versus without prevalent VF (difference in change in DHN 0.38, 95% CI 0.18 to 0.59, P<.001), but the change in summary index of FJOA was similar between those with and without prevalent VF. However, once adjusted for age, sex, cohort, smoking status, body mass index, and baseline DHN, the change in summary index of DHN did not differ by prevalent VF status. There was a modestly higher change in the FJOA summary index in those with prevalent VFs compared to those without in the fully adjusted model (difference in change in FJOA 0.62, 95% CI -0.01 to 1.24, P=.054), driven primarily by those with severe (grade 3) VF (difference in change in FJOA 4.48, 95% CI 1.99 to 6.97). Moreover, there was greater change in the summary index of FJOA with increasing severity of prevalent VF (linear trend P=.005). Beyond the established morbidity and mortality associated with VFs, our study suggests that VFs may also lead to worsening spine osteoarthritis.

Exposure to ionizing radiation for oncological therapy increases the risk for late-onset fractures in survivors. However, the effects of total body irradiation (TBI) on adult bone are not well-characterized. The primary aim of this study was to quantify the long-term effects of TBI on bone microstructure, material composition, and mechanical behavior in skeletally mature rhesus macaque (Macaca mulatta) non-human primates. Femora were obtained post-mortem from animals exposed to an acute dose of TBI (6.0-6.75 Gy) nearly a decade earlier, age-matched non-irradiated controls, and non-irradiated young animals. The microstructure of femoral trabecular and cortical bone was assessed via micro-computed tomography. Material composition was evaluated by measuring total fluorescent advanced glycation end products (fAGEs). Cortical bone mechanical behavior was quantified via four-point bending and cyclic reference point indentation (cRPI). Animals exposed to TBI had slightly worse cortical microstructure, including lower cortical thickness (-11%, p = 0.037) and cortical area (-24%, p = 0.049), but similar fAGE content and mechanical properties as age-matched controls. Aging did not influence cortical microstructure, fAGE content, or cRPI measures but diminished femoral cortical post-yield properties, including toughness to fracture (-32%, p = 0.032). Because TBI was administered after the acquisition of peak bone mass, these results suggest that the skeletons of long-term survivors of adulthood TBI may be resilient, retaining or recovering their mechanical integrity during the post-treatment period, despite radiation-induced architectural deficits. Further investigation is necessary to better understand radiation-induced skeletal fragility in mature and immature bone to improve care for radiation patients of all ages.

Some osteoporosis drug trials have suggested that treatment is more effective in those with low BMD measured by DXA. This study used data from a large set of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to determine whether the anti-fracture efficacy of treatments differs according to baseline BMD. We used individual patient data from 25 RCTs (103 086 subjects) of osteoporosis medications collected as part of the FNIH-ASBMR SABRE project. Participants were stratified into FN BMD T-score subgroups (≤-2.5, > -2.5). We used Cox proportional hazard regression to estimate treatment effect for clinical fracture outcomes and logistic regression for the radiographic vertebral fracture outcome. We also performed analyses based on BMD quintiles. Overall, 42% had a FN BMD T-score ≤ -2.5. Treatment with anti-osteoporosis drugs led to significant reductions in fractures in both T-score ≤ -2.5 and > -2.5 subgroups. Compared to those with FN BMD T-score > -2.5, the risk reduction for each fracture outcome was greater in those with T-score ≤ -2.5, but only the all-fracture outcome reached statistical significance (interaction P = .001). Results were similar when limited to bisphosphonate trials. In the quintile analysis, there was significant anti-fracture efficacy across all quintiles for vertebral fractures and with greater effects on fracture risk reduction for non-vertebral, all, and all clinical fractures in the lower BMD quintiles (all interaction P ≤ .03). In summary, anti-osteoporotic medications reduced the risk of fractures regardless of baseline BMD. Significant fracture risk reduction with treatment for 4 of the 5 fracture endpoints was seen in participants with T-scores above -2.5, though effects tended to be larger and more significant in those with baseline T-scores <-2.5.

UNLABELLED: To understand whether the bone loss which occurs after vertical sleeve gastrectomy increases the risk of fracture, we used an engineering model to estimate risk in participants before and after surgery. We found that estimated risk decreased 1 year after surgery and remained lower, though had rebounded, at year 2.

PURPOSE: Vertical sleeve gastrectomy (VSG) improves metabolic health in young people with obesity but is accompanied by substantial loss of bone mass and estimated bone strength. We thus estimated fracture risk following VSG using the load-to-strength ratio (LSR), which integrates bone strength estimates with the predicted force of a fall.

METHODS: Prospective 2-year study of youth ages 13-24 years with obesity undergoing VSG (n = 24) or lifestyle therapy (n = 34). We performed high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography of the distal radius and microfinite element analysis to estimate bone strength and calculated LSR.

RESULTS: VSG participants lost 26.4 ± 8.1% weight at year 1 (p < 0.001), which was sustained at year 2, while control participants gained weight at year 2 (4.5 ± 8.3%, p = 0.009). The predicted impact force decreased at years 1 and 2 following VSG (p < 0.001) but increased at year 2 among controls (p = 0.011). Estimated bone strength was unchanged at year 1 but decreased (p < 0.001) at year 2 following VSG, while bone strength did not change in controls. At year 1, the LSR decreased among VSG participants (p < 0.001), implying a lower risk of fracture. At year 2, the LSR was lower than baseline (p < 0.001), but higher compared to year 1 (p = 0.001). LSR did not change in the control group.

CONCLUSIONS: Short-term estimated fracture risk at the radius following VSG decreases. However, ongoing bone loss despite stable weight between years 1 and 2 leads to a concerning rise in estimated fracture risk. Longer follow-up will be critical to evaluate the trajectory of fracture risk. (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02557438, registered 9/23/2015).

Fracture risk increases with lower areal bone mineral density (aBMD); however, aBMD-related estimate of risk may decrease with age. This may depend on technical limitations of 2-dimensional (2D) dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) which are reduced with 3D high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography (HR-pQCT). Our aim was to examine whether the predictive utility of HR-pQCT measures with fracture varies with age. We analyzed associations of HR-pQCT measures at the distal radius and distal tibia with two outcomes: incident fractures and major osteoporotic fractures. We censored follow-up time at first fracture, death, last contact or 8 years after baseline. We estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95%CI for the association between bone traits and fracture incidence across age quintiles. Among 6835 men and women (ages 40-96) with at least one valid baseline HR-pQCT scan who were followed prospectively for a median of 48.3 months, 681 sustained fractures. After adjustment for confounders, bone parameters at both the radius and tibia were associated with higher fracture risk. The estimated HRs for fracture did not vary significantly across age quintiles for any HR-pQCT parameter measured at either the radius or tibia. In this large cohort, the homogeneity of the associations between the HR-pQCT measures and fracture risk across age groups persisted for all fractures and for major osteoporotic fractures. The patterns were similar regardless of the HR-pQCT measure, the type of fracture, or the statistical models. The stability of the associations between HR-pQCT measures and fracture over a broad age range shows that bone deficits or low volumetric density remain major determinants of fracture risk regardless of age group. The lower risk for fractures across measures of aBMD in older adults in other studies may be related to factors which interfere with DXA but not with HR-pQCT measures.

Adults with type 1 diabetes (T1D) have increased hip fracture risk, yet no studies have assessed volumetric bone density or structure at the hip in older adults with T1D. Here, we used previously collected 3D CT scans of the proximal femur from older adults with longstanding T1D and non-diabetic controls to identify bone deficits that may contribute to hip fracture in T1D. In this retrospective cohort study, we identified 101 adults with T1D and 181 age-, sex-, and race-matched non-diabetic controls (CON) who received abdominal or pelvis CT exams from 2010 to 2020. Among adults with T1D, 33 (33%) had mild-to-moderate nephropathy, 61 (60%) had neuropathy, and 71 (70%) had retinopathy. Within the whole cohort, adults with T1D tended to have lower FN density, though differences did not reach statistical significance. The subset of the T1D group who were diagnosed before age 15 had lower total BMC (-14%, TtBMC), cortical BMC (-19.5%, CtBMC), and smaller Ct cross-sectional area (-12.6, CtCSA) than their matched controls (p<.05 for all). Individuals with T1D who were diagnosed at a later age did not differ from controls in any bone outcome (p>.21). Furthermore, adults with T1D and nephropathy had lower FN aBMD (-10.6%), TtBMC (-17%), CtBMC (-24%), and smaller CtCSA (-15.4%) compared to matched controls (p<.05 for all). Adults with T1D and neuropathy had cortical bone deficits (8.4%-12%, p<.04). In summary, among older adults with T1D, those who were diagnosed before the age of 15 yr, as well as those with nephropathy and neuropathy had unfavorable bone outcomes at the FN, which may contribute to the high risk of hip fractures among patients with T1D. These novel observations highlight the longstanding detrimental impact of T1D when present during bone accrual and skeletal fragility as an additional complication of microvascular disease in individuals with T1D.

With the technological advances made to expand space exploration, astronauts will spend extended amounts of time in space before returning to Earth. This situation of unloading and reloading influences human physiology, and readaptation to full weight-bearing may significantly impact astronauts' health. On Earth, similar situations can be observed in patients who are bedridden or suffer from sport-related injuries. However, our knowledge of male physiology far exceeds our knowledge of female's, which creates an important gap that needs to be addressed to understand the sex-based differences regarding musculoskeletal adaptation to unloading and reloading, necessary to preserve health of both sexes. Using a ground-based model of total unloading for 14 days and reloading at full weight-bearing for 7 days rats, we aimed to compare the musculoskeletal adaptations between males and females. Our results reveal the existence of significant differences. Indeed, males experienced bone loss both during the unloading and the reloading period while females did not. During simulated microgravity, males and females showed comparable muscle deconditioning with a significant decline in rear paw grip strength. However, after 7 days of recovery, muscle strength improved. Additionally, sex-based differences in myofiber size existing at baseline are significantly reduced or eliminated following unloading and recovery.