Publications by Year: 2015

2015

Wasfy JH, Singal G, O’Brien C, et al. Enhancing the Prediction of 30-Day Readmission After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Using Data Extracted by Querying of the Electronic Health Record. Circulation. Cardiovascular quality and outcomes. 2015;8(5):477-85. doi:10.1161/CIRCOUTCOMES.115.001855

BACKGROUND: Early readmission after percutaneous coronary intervention is an important quality metric, but prediction models from registry data have only moderate discrimination. We aimed to improve ability to predict 30-day readmission after percutaneous coronary intervention from a previously validated registry-based model.

METHODS AND RESULTS: We matched readmitted to non-readmitted patients in a 1:2 ratio by risk of readmission, and extracted unstructured and unconventional structured data from the electronic medical record, including need for medical interpretation, albumin level, medical nonadherence, previous number of emergency department visits, atrial fibrillation/flutter, syncope/presyncope, end-stage liver disease, malignancy, and anxiety. We assessed differences in rates of these conditions between cases/controls, and estimated their independent association with 30-day readmission using logistic regression conditional on matched groups. Among 9288 percutaneous coronary interventions, we matched 888 readmitted with 1776 non-readmitted patients. In univariate analysis, cases and controls were significantly different with respect to interpreter (7.9% for cases and 5.3% for controls; P=0.009), emergency department visits (1.12 for cases and 0.77 for controls; P<0.001), homelessness (3.2% for cases and 1.6% for controls; P=0.007), anticoagulation (33.9% for cases and 22.1% for controls; P<0.001), atrial fibrillation/flutter (32.7% for cases and 28.9% for controls; P=0.045), presyncope/syncope (27.8% for cases and 21.3% for controls; P<0.001), and anxiety (69.4% for cases and 62.4% for controls; P<0.001). Anticoagulation, emergency department visits, and anxiety were independently associated with readmission.

CONCLUSIONS: Patient characteristics derived from review of the electronic health record can be used to refine risk prediction for hospital readmission after percutaneous coronary intervention.

Waldo SW, Chang L, Strom JB, O’Brien C, Pomerantsev E, Yeh RW. Predicting the Presence of an Acute Coronary Lesion Among Patients Resuscitated From Cardiac Arrest. Circulation. Cardiovascular interventions. 2015;8(10). doi:10.1161/CIRCINTERVENTIONS.114.002198

BACKGROUND: A mechanism to stratify patients resuscitated from a cardiac arrest according to the likelihood of an acute coronary lesion would have significant utility. We thus sought to develop and validate a risk prediction model for the presence of an acute coronary lesion among patients resuscitated from an arrest.

METHODS AND RESULTS: All subjects undergoing coronary angiography after resuscitation from a cardiac arrest were identified in an ongoing institutional registry from 2009 to 2014. Backwards stepwise selection of candidate covariates was used to create a logistic regression model for the presence of an angiographic culprit lesion and internally validated with bootstrapping. A clinical point score was generated and its prognostic abilities compared with contemporary measures. Among 247 subjects undergoing coronary angiography after resuscitation from a cardiac arrest, 130 (52%) had an acute lesion in a coronary artery. A multivariable model-including angina, congestive heart failure symptoms, shockable arrest rhythm (ventricular fibrillation/ventricular tachycardia), and ST-elevations-had excellent discrimination (optimism corrected C-Statistic, 0.88) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow P=0.540) for an acute coronary lesion. Compared with electrocardiographic findings alone, a point score based on this model more accurately predicted the presence of an acute lesion among patients resuscitated from a cardiac arrest (integrated discrimination improvement, 0.10; 95% confidence interval, 0.04-0.19; P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS: Patients with a cardiac arrest can be risk stratified for the presence of an acute coronary lesion using 4 easily measured variables. This simple risk score may be used to improve patient selection for emergent coronary angiography among resuscitated patients.